Although
I’ve had baseball on my mind since February, my thoughts on players and
predictions for the upcoming Major League Baseball season had yet to begin
until recent days; in particular, after my fantasy baseball league draft and
after reading some ESPN.com and MLB.com articles and lineup/rotation
projections.
It
would have been nice to have thought more about these things prior to my
fantasy draft or mere days before Opening Day. But it is what it is.
Nonetheless, as the season commences, I would like to present my MLB 2013
Preseason Thoughts and Predictions:
First
off, the American League:
|
Rays P David Price |
From
East to West, I give you …
2013
AL East Champs – Tampa Bay Rays (86-76)
This
division is up for grabs, but … Pitching wins out and the Rays have the best.
Evan
Longoria has an excellent season, stabilizing a solid Tampa lineup and David
Price anchors a well-balanced staff. The Rays are going to win tons of 3-2, 4-3
games this year, en route to an 86-76 record and the AL East crown.
Note: Ace pitcher David Price (20-5 with 2.56 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 2012) heads a Rays pitching staff that ranked first in the majors with a team ERA of 3.19 last season.
Runner
up – Toronto Blue Jays (84-78 - 2 GB)
|
Blue Jays P R.A. Dickey |
Canada’s
Best has amped up its talent (and payroll) significantly this offseason,
but I’m not ready to drink its Blue postseason Kool-Aid just yet. Toronto will
slug. Toronto will pitch. But the team’s overall game (including defense, runs allowed and so forth) comes up short in terms of the team’s first playoff
appearance since 1993.
NOTE: Blue Jays pitcher R.A. Dickey won the National League Cy Young award with the Mets last year, posting a 20-6 record with 230 K's and a 2.73 ERA. Can the 10-year veteran with a 3.98 career ERA replicate his phenomenal 2012 success this season?
Third
place – Baltimore Orioles (82-80 - 4 GB)
Baltimore
became one of baseball’s darlings last season. Led by manager Buck Showalter,
the Orioles maximized its talent to a 93-69 record and its first playoff
appearance since 1997.
|
Orioles C Matt Wieters |
Don’t
expect it to happen again.
Pitching
prospect Chris Tillman finds his form near the top of Baltimore’s rotation this
season, while Adam Jones continues to evolve as one of baseball’s top emerging
centerfielders. But the Buck stops there. The O’s have a talented squad that has its franchise on the rise again. It just doesn’t quite have enough juice to get
back to the playoffs this year.
Note: A big key to the Orioles new-found success is catcher Matt Wieters. The 26-year-old can handle himself at the plate, posting career-highs in home runs (26) and RBI (83) last season. But his impact being the plate is irreplaceable. There's a reason one of baseball's most maligned pitching staffs in the 2000's has become legitimate again. Following four straight seasons with a team ERA over 5.00, Baltimore cracked the 4.00-range in 2010 (Wieters' rookie season) and finished last season at 3.90 - the first time the franchise recorded a team ERA under 4.00 since 1997.
|
Red Sox 3B Will Middlebrooks |
Fourth
place – Boston Red Sox (79-83 - 8 GB)
Can
you believe the Red Sox finished in the AL East cellar last year with a 69-93
record? It’s hard to fathom for a team that dominated the division the past
decade. That’s how bad its got in Boston.
This
year’s team will win more than 69 games. Among other areas, the return of a healthy Jacoby
Elsbury and the arrivals of Shane Victorino and Mike Napoli helps its cause. Still,
finishing at the .500 mark would be a more reasonable goal for Bo-Sox this year than a
playoff appearance.
Note: Hitting behind Elsbury, Victorino, Dustin Pedroia and Napoli this season will be 24-year-old third baseman Will Middlebrooks. Boston's fifth-round draft pick in 2007, Middlebrooks made a splash with the Beantown faithful in an otherwise rough season last year. In 267 at-bats, the rookie infielder batted .288 with 15 home runs and 54 RBI. What type of an impact can Middlebrooks make this year? With a suspect pitching staff, the Red Sox could use all the offense it can get this year.
|
Yankees 2B Robinson Cano |
Fifth
place – New York Yankees (77-85 - 9 GB)
Can
you say it? “The Yankees finish its season in last place.” It’s kind of a hard
phrase to roll off one’s tongue, isn’t it? But this is the year of bleak
possibilities for the Pinstripes.
New
York managed to win more games than all of its American League counterparts
last season. But age and injuries have quickly caught up to them. It showed in
its 4-0 ALCS sweep at the hands of the Detroit Tigers last season. And thanks to a handful
of unfortunate offseason occurrences (unfortunate in the eyes of Yankees fans, at least),
the team’s prospects spiral violently downward this season.
Sorry,
Andy Pettitte and Mariano Rivera. You might be wishing to you changed your mind on
retirement.
Note: Robinson Cano has entered a league of his own, in terms of Major League second basemen. Over his past four seasons, Cano has had a batting average above .300 with at least 25 homers every year. Along with the statistical success, the 30-year-old slugger has made three All-Star appearances, and won three Gold Gloves and Silver Sluggers. With all the injuries the Yankees have suffered in the offseason, the weight of the team's offensive success will rely heavily on Cano. Too heavily. Replacing Mark Teixera, Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and Curtis Cranderson (at least to begin the season) will be Kevin Youkilis, Eduardo Nunez, Jayson Nix and Brett Gardner.
AL
Central Champs – Detroit Tigers (104-58)
Detroit
will win a hundred games this year ... at least.
Closer,
shmoser. The Tigers very likely may be the only team entering 2013 with out a
designated closer. Does that matter? … No.
|
Tigers RF Torii Hunter |
Cy
Young and MVP winner Justin Verlander tows a talented Tigers pitching roster.
Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera anchors an outstanding Motown lineup. Veteran
Torii Hunter adds leadership and defense. Victor Martinez (.330 BA, 103 RBI in 2011) returns from an knee injury. It all adds up to an October to
remember for the 2013 Tigers.
Note: Hunter adds another quality bat to Detroit's already potent lineup. Moreover, he brings much-needed defensive prowess (something Detroit has lacked), playoff experience and several intangibles to the Tigers clubhouse. In 14 Major League seasons, Hunter has won nine Gold Gloves, a Sliver Slugger, four All-Star appearances. Hunter has been to the postseason six times. This year he hopes to make his seventh trip and finish it off with his first World Series ring.
Runner-up
– Kansas City Royals (82-80 - 22 GB)
The Kansas City Royals have been a bottom dweller in the AL Central for far too long. Of the five teams in its division, the Royals have finished in either fourth or fifth place for 14 of its past 17 seasons. The team has not made the playoffs since 1985 ... Ugh.
|
Royals 3B Mike Moustakas |
The bright spot is that the team finished third last year and has a roster full of talent capable of leading them to the unfortunately unfamiliar turf of the postseason once again.
First baseman Eric Hosmer, third baseman Mike Moustakas, designated hitter Billy Butler and outfielder Alex Gordon lead a strong, youthful Royals offense. On the mound, the Royals have added two quality veterans - James Shields and Ervin Santana - capable of being front-of-the-rotation pitchers.
Note: Moustakas - Kansas City's 1st round pick of the 2007 draft (the second overall pick) - made his highly anticipated arrival in 2011. In 2012, the agile 6-foot, 220-pound slugger has shown All-Star potential both at the plate and handling the hot corner. He made highlight after highlight with his play at third base and showed a progression of power at the plate (20 HR, 73 RBI in 563 AB last season; 5 HR, 30 RBI in 338 AB in 2011).
|
White Sox SP Chris Sale |
Third
place – Chicago White Sox (80-82 - 24 GB)
The arrival of Chris Sale and revival of Jake Peavy led Chicago to an 85-77 record last season - finishing three games behind Detroit in the division race. With many of the same pieces, expectations should be similar this season. But I don't see it.
One of the main reasons the White Sox will decline this year is the departure of A.J. Piersynski. The catcher was more than just a catcher, he was the team's identity. He embodied a toughness that will be sorely missed in Chicago.
Outside of Sale, an aging team that overachieved last year shows its flaws this season.
Note: Sale is bound to be a bright spot for the 2013 Sox. The 24-year-old lefty was a highly promising prospect in 2010, when he struck out 32 batters in his 23.1-inning cup of coffee. Last season, Sale was a bona fide Cy Young contender - posting a 17-8 record with 192 K's, a 3.05 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. The rising Sox ace is sure to have for another spectacular season this summer.
Fourth
place – Minnesota Twins (74 -88 - 30 GB)
|
Twins 1B Justin Morneau |
Minnesota, Minnesota, where have you gone? The Target Field
arrival has not exactly gone as planned for the Twins. The AL Central champs of
2002, ’03, ’04, ’09 and ’10 have suddenly suffered through a pair of
fifth-place finishes in consecutive seasons. Let’s rephrase that. A pair of
abysmal, fifth-place finishes the past couple seasons; finishing in the AL
cellar in both years with a combined 129-195 record.
The team’s hope for 2013 resides on a renaissance of
stars Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau, as well as a successful rookie campaign
from centerfielder Aaron Hicks. With minimal offseason improvements, baseball’s
28th-placed 2012 pitching staff is destined to finished near the
bottom once again.
Note: Minnesota’s offense could make the team competitive
enough to give the team a fighting chance of finishing near .500 this season –
or at least at finishing in fourth instead of fifth place in its division. Morneau, the
Twins’ AL MVP of 2006, made significant improvement last season following a
damaged 2011 after a serious head injury incurred in 2010. If the lanky left-handed
slugger can reach 30 home runs again and replicate success comparable to his
four-year run of 100-plus RBI seasons from ’06-‘09, Twins fans will have renewed
hope the for their once-vaunted power hitter who’s still only 31 years of age.
Fifth
place – Cleveland Indians (72-90 - 32 GB)
Not
2011’s 80-82 season, rather the three fourth-place division finishes of
2009-2012 are indicative of the current state of the Cleveland Indians. Not
even two-time World Series champion Terry Francona can transform a weak lineup
and rotation into a formidable AL Central force. The 13-year manager has
inherited a project of mediocre veterans and young talent who appear to be
mediocre as well.
|
Indians C/1B Carlos Santana |
Francona’s
lone strength remains from last season - his bullpen. Led by Chris Perez,
Vinnie Pestano and Joe Smith, the Indians pose a problem for opposing offenses
in late innings. However, it may be a challenge to reach those innings with a
lead to protect. A speedy outfield – composed of Michael Brantley and additions
Michael Bourn and Drew Stubbs – will provide Francona with a second asset of
speed. But the team’s lack of power and starting pitching will be its downfall.
Note:
Catcher/first baseman Carlos Santana will be a key piece of Cleveland’s present
and future success. Santana has yet to live up to his potential at the
professional level; but the team still has high hopes for its 26-year-old
prospect that posted back-to-back-to-back .290-plus BA, 90-plus RBI seasons in
the minors from 2008-2010.
AL
West Champs – Los Angeles Angels (95-77)
|
Angels CF Mike Trout |
The
Angels’ bid to buy a championship could come to fruition this season. The team
that spent $240 million for Albert Pujols in 2011 swiped its division rival’s
star, Texas’ Josh Hamilton, with a $125 million contract this offseason.
Oh, and lets toss in the game’s most highly coveted player, Mike Trout, and
underrated up-and-coming slugger, Mark Trumbo, into it’s super-powered lineup
too.
Los
Angeles’ pitching corps is led one of baseball’s best, in Jered Weaver (a
combined 2.73 ERA with 573 strikeouts from 2010-2012). Complementing Weaver in
the Angels’ rotation is another Rangers-export, C.J. Wilson, followed by
newcomers Joe Blanton, Jason Vargas and Tommy Hanson. As a whole, the team has
an above-average staff that – supported by an All-Star lineup – should bring
L.A. a lot of success this season.
Note: The baseball world can’t help but anticipate how 21-year-old
phenom Trout will fare as an encore to his sensational rookie season.
The true five-tool star provided stellar defense, while swiping 49 bases,
hitting 30 homers, scoring 129 runs and posting 83 RBI in five months in 2012.
What’s in store for 2013? Can Trout replicate that success, enter superstar
status and lead L.A. to the promise land in only his second Major League season?
Runner-up
– Oakland Athletics (88-74 - 7 GB) (wc)
Despite
the superior talent of the Angels, the 2012 AL West crown was claimed by the Oakland Athletics. Baseball fans – and experts – wondered how
this could happen.
|
A's RF Josh Redick |
It
was Moneyball all over again. The 2012 Athletics second-lowest MLB payroll
($55,372,500) was nearly a whole third less than Los Angeles (who boasted a
$154,485,166 – fourth-highest in the majors). Yet general manager Billy Beane and
team manager Bob Melvin molded a roster full of virtual no-names to a 94-68
record.
That
said, Oakland still hasn’t earned the notoriety or respect the 89-win Angels of
last season. Still, much like Trout on an individual level, baseball purists and experts can’t help but wonder about the A’s team success this season. Can this year’s team replicate its miraculous 2012 this go-around?
Note:
Part of the reason for Oakland’s success last season was outfielder Josh
Redick. Signed for a thrift store price of $485,000 in 2012, the A’s cashed in
its bargain for a value of 32 home runs and 85 RBI in a team-high 611 at-bats.
With a .242 batting average, however, there’s plenty of room for improvement
for the third-year player. Reddick’s beard has certainly grown entering season
No. 2 with the A’s (see photo). Can his production continue to grow as well?
Third
place – Texas Rangers (87-75 - 9 GB) (wc)
After
back-to-back World Series appearances coming up short, has Texas’ window to win
it all passed? It’s hard to say. Despite the loss of team star and one of
baseball’s best hitters, Josh Hamilton, the Rangers lineup of 2013 still packs
plenty of power. And with a talented pitching staff as well, Texas most
definitely is capable of competing with the Angels and A’s.
The 2013 Rangers won't have enough guns to win the west this season. But the team will earn a wildcard and make its fourth consecutive postseason.
|
Rangers SP Yu Darvish |
Note:
Texas’ 2013 playoff hopes hinge largely on Japanese import Yu Darvish. The 6-foot-5
flamethrower has what it take to become a true ace for the Rangers. And
that is the role the Rangers’ expect him to take. Darvish experienced a lot of
success last season (his first in Major Leagues) – posting a 3.90 ERA with 16
wins and 221 strikeouts. Look for that to continue in 2013.
Fourth
place – Seattle Mariners (82-80 - 13 GB)
The
2013 Seattle Mariners – much like its other three AL West counterparts from
last season – will benefit from the arrival of the Houston Astros this season.
New additions Michael Morse and Kendrys Morales could help as well.
|
Mariners SP Felix Hernandez |
Expect
the Mariners to improve upon its 75 wins from last season. But don’t expect the
postseason just yet.
Note:
With an improved offense, Mariners ace Felix Hernandez stands of good chance of
winning more ballgames this year than his 2012 total of 13. Could the dominant Venezuela native post a ridiculously stunning fourth season in his past five with an ERA
under 2.50? Yes. Will he pick up his second Cy Young award?
Sadly, no. Awards like that usually require team success; and while having an
improved offense, the Mariners lack the complementary pitchers to help
King Felix lead them to the playoffs.
|
Astros MGR Bo Porter |
Fifth
place – Houston Astros (56-96 - 32 GB)
This
team won 55 games last season. This year? I’ll give ‘em 56.
Note:
First-year manager Bo Porter has a lot of work to do; a lot of work to do. With no MLB managerial experience and coaching
experience limited to third base, it will be interesting to see what the
40-year-old can bring to Houston.
2013
NL East Champs – Washington Nationals (96-66)
|
Nationals SP Stephen Strasburg |
The
Nationals have high expectations in 2013, and they should reach them. Stephen
Strasburg is healthy and ready to dominate. His pitching compadres (i.e. Gio
Gonzalez, Jordan Zimmerman) are ready too. Surrounded by supreme talent on the
mound and in the batter’s box, Strasburg is poised to lead the Nationals to its
first ever World Series. It will be tough, though, as the team’s rival to the
south, Atlanta, boasts a pretty good ballclub too.
Note:
In 2010, Strasburg – one of baseball’s most highly anticipated pitching
prospects ever – had his rookie year cut short by an elbow injury. Pitch count. Pitch
count. Pitch count. That was all that had been talked about with Strasburg since then;
actually, before then too, as the Nationals’ were initially cautious with their
22-year-old phenom … Now, after successfully mowing down 197 batters in 159.1
innings last season, it’s time to throw out the pitch count for Washington’s healthy, 24-year-old, No.1
overall pick of the 2009 MLB draft. If the Nationals young ace continues his
ascension, then the summer of 2013 could very well be Strasburg season in the nation’s capital.
Runner-up
– Atlanta Braves (95-67 - 2 GB) (wc)
Atlanta
and Washington should be the best divisional race in baseball this year. As
well stocked as the Nationals are, the Braves are right with them.
Last
season, an already excellent pitching staff was aided by the unexpected
emergence of Kris Medlen. The collegiate shortstop drafted to be a reliever
became a full-fledged starter and savior of Atlanta’s playoff chase in the
second half of last season. Making his first 2012 start on July 31, Medlen
notched a win against Miami and cruised on to win all nine of his decisions in 12
games started. The 27-year-old finished his season 10-1 with a spectacular 1.57
ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 138.0 innings pitched.
|
Braves LF Justin Upton and CF B.J. Upton |
Medlen
begins 2013 as the team’s second starter, joining Tim Hudson and Paul Maholm in
heading a talented rotation. Coupled with offseason signings of All-Star
brothers Justin and B.J. Upton, the Braves most definitely will be a contender
to win the East, and perhaps even the World Series, this season.
Note:
The Upton brothers will not be the first siblings to roam the outfielder with
one another in Major League history. But they could be the best. Make no
mistake; this is not Chris and Tony Gwynn or Vladimir and Wilton Guerrero.
Justin and B.J. are supremely talented players who, although have not always performed as
such, are still All-Star caliber players in the prime of their careers. Could
their union in Atlanta be the boost both the brothers – and the Braves – need
to lead them to a championship?
Third
place – Philadelphia Phillies (82-80 - 14 GB)
Much
like the Yankees in the A.L., injuries and age may be catching up with the
Phillies.
|
Phillies 1B Ryan Howard |
Former
league MVP Ryan Howard tore his Achilles tendon in the 2011 postseason and
returned to a 2012 season where he hit just .219 with 25 extra-base hits in 260
at-bats. The slugger had six straight seasons over 100 RBI from 2006-2011.
Five-time
All-Star Chase Utley has fallen on hard times with nagging knee problems in
recent years, battling his way to a .256 BA and 11 home runs last season - a far cry from four consecutive
100-RBI seasons (2005-2008).
And
on the mound, no one can figure out exactly what’s become of Roy Halladay. A
two-time Cy Young winner and one of baseball’s most dominant pitchers, Halladay
tossed four straight seasons of more than 200 innings with and ERA at 2.79 or
below. Last season, the Phillies ace experienced some shoulder soreness and
struggled to post a 4.49 ERA in 156.1 innings. Halladay’s not over the hill
yet. But, at age 35, perhaps father time has suddenly caught up to him.
Note:
Howard's six consecutive seasons of more than 100 RBI included league-leading totals of 149, 146 and 141 in 2006, 2008 and 2009. In order for the
2013 Phillies to make the playoffs, the team will need its 33-year-old slugger
– once face of the franchise – to produce for them once again.
Fourth
place – New York Mets (78-84 - 18 GB)
New
York suffered a tough break with two-time Cy Young award winner Johan Santana.
In 2008, the team signed Santana for $137.5 million for six years. Five years
later, Santana’s impact has been hampered severely by injuries. And now the
once-dominant left-hander’s career may be over, as Santana will miss 2013 with
his second shoulder surgery in three seasons.
|
Mets 3B David Wright |
The
Mets do have hope, though. Mr. Met of the 2000’s, third baseman David Wright, is
present and as good as ever. On the mound, New York features 26-year-old
Jonathon Niese. The team’s 7th round pick in 2005 was 13-9 with a
3.40 ERA and 1.17 WHIP last season.
Note:
In the offseason, Wright became the Mets highest paid player in franchise
history. The 30-year-old agreed to extend his Mets career eight years for a
cool $138 million. It will be nearly impossible for the Mets to compete with
the Nationals or Braves this season; but Wright certainly embodies the blend of skills
and traits desired in a team captain that can lead them to a prosperous future.
Fifth
place – Miami Marlins (66 -96 - 29 GB)
The
Marlins projected cleanup hitter this season is Placido Polanco (6,858 career at-bats,
103 home runs) … Yep, that’s all you need to know.
|
Marlins RF Giancarlo Stanton |
Note:
Miami does, thankfully, have at least one hitter who can supply more power than
Polanco – Giancarlo Stanton, who’s hit 71 HRs through his first two MLB seasons. However, with a lack of talent in front of Stanton, instead of cleanup the team has elected to bat
him third – perhaps to ensure he gets to bat in the first inning. It doesn’t
matter. Miami has a lack of talent that rivals that of Houston and San Diego
this season. All Marlins fans can be hopeful of is watching their star slugger
continue to pelt the team's vacant outfield stands with his thunderous clouts.
NL
Central Champs – Cincinnati Reds (86-76)
|
Reds 1B Joey Votto |
After
a 2-0 divisional series lead against San Francisco last postseason turned into embarrassing
3-2 exit, Cincinnati is hungry. The team has nearly its entire 2012 roster
intact for 2013 and is the clear favorite to win its division yet again.
Note:
Reds first baseman Joey Votto will be a huge key to the team’s success this
season. After outstanding, breakout seasons in 2010 and 2011, Votto’s 2012 was
marred by a knee injury. The 2010 NL MVP missed eight weeks with the injury,
returned on Sept. 5 and did not hit a home run for the team’s remaining 25
regular season games and the five extra games against San Francisco … The 29-year-old
has a clean bill of health entering 2013. The Reds have a championship-caliber
roster and hope Votto can be the leader that to take them there.
|
Cardinals C Yadier Molina |
Runner-up - St. Louis Cardinals (83-79 - 3 GB)
St.
Louis and Cincinnati have had quite the heated rivalry in recent years. Expect that
trend to continue this season.
The
Cardinals boast a talented lineup of Matt Holliday, Carlos Beltran, Allen
Craig, Yadier Molina and David Freese. Led by ace pitcher Adam Wainwright, the
team’s pitching staff is very formidable as well.
Note:
Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina has quietly become a model of consistency and a
leader for St. Louis. Besides becoming one of the game’s top defensive
catchers, Molina has improved steadily as an offensive force in recent years.
The 30-year-old Puerto Rico native has made four consecutive All-Star game
appearances. Molina posted career-highs in batting average (.305) and home runs
(14) in 2011, only to top those totals at .315 and 22, respectively, in 2012.
Third
place – Milwaukee Brewers (82-78 - 6 GB)
Any
conversation about the Milwaukee Brewers in recent years starts and ends with
Ryan Braun. In 2007, Braun won Rookie of the Year - when he batted .324 with 34 HRs and
97 RBI. From 2008-2012, Braun has been an All-Star every season; including an
NL MVP award in 2011.
|
Brewers CF Carlos Gomez |
|
The
problem is that Braun can only do so much. The Brewers pitching staff has been
below average in recent years and probably will be so again this season.
Note:
Complementing Braun in leading Milwaukee to a winning season last year was
Carlos Gomez. The Brewers centerfielder posted career highs in home runs (19)
and stolen bases (37). Gomez brings with him high energy and a whole of speed.
If the Brewers are going to make the playoffs this year, a big season from
Gomez will be a key factor.
Fourth
place – Pittsburgh Pirates (78-84 - 10 GB)
The
Pittsburgh Pirates teased its fans last season, owning a record of 60-44 on August
1. But the team became the Pitiful Pirates once again, going 19-39 down the
stretch to finish its 20th consecutive losing season.
Optimism
has run dry in Steel City once again.
|
Pirates CF Andrew McCutchen |
Note:
Andrew McCutchen is one player worth spending a ticket for at PNC Park. The
26-year-old has made positive strides in each of the first four years of his
career. McCutchen batted a respectable .286 with 12 HRs and 22 SBs in his
rookie season of 2009. Last year, he was one of baseball’s best overall players
- batting .327 with 31 HRs and 96 RBI, along with 22 SBs.
Fifth
place – Chicago Cubs (72-90 - 16 GB)
|
Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo |
Ah,
the Lovable Losers. The beginning of a season always brings hope. Too bad the
Cubs' will be lost by mid-April. No matter. Cubs fans still have the Cozy
Confines to have a few beers in and root for their beloved Cubbies, win or lose.
Note:
Any shot of success for Chicago this season rests on the broad shoulders of its
23-year-old first baseman, Anthony Rizzo. The 6-foot-3 lefty wields a strong
stick – 49 HRs in 613 ABs over the past two seasons in AAA ball (between the
Cubs and Padres). Can the prospect pan out in the pros?
NL
West Champs – Los Angeles Dodgers (91-71)
|
Dodgers SP Zack Greinke |
The
Dodgers are about as stacked as any other club in baseball. Magic Johnson took
ownership and spent lots and lots of money – immediately. Well, technically it was Johnson and longtime baseball
executive Stan Kasten. It’s just more fun to say “Magic.”
The
pairing headed a purchasing group that paid a pretty penny to buy the team for
$2.15 million last spring. Since then, they’ve brought in a handful of All-Star
talent; including Adrien Gonzalez, Carl Crawford, Josh Beckett, Hanley Ramirez
and Zach Greinke. Add these players to Silver Slugger, Gold Glove centerfielder
Matt Kemp and 2011 NL Cy Young award winner Clayton Kershaw and you’ve got a
tremendously tough team that can go cleat-to-cleat with anyone.
Note:
Much like baseball’s other L.A. team, the Dodgers are obviously looking to buy
themselves a championship. But as evidenced by the Angels of 2012 and several
Yankees teams in recent years, money can’t buy you rings (World Series
rings, anyways). A key player to 2013 Dodgers success will be Zack Greinke. The
29-year-old right-hander has been an upper-level pitcher the past few seasons.
But if Greinke can recapture the dominant 2009 form he had with the Royals,
watch out! A one-two punch of Kershaw and Greinke could mean curtains for any of
its contenders.
Runner-up – San Francisco Giants (85-77 - 4 GB) (wc)
San
Francisco may not quite have the star talent of L.A. offensively. But it
definitely matches its archrival’s arms, and then some.
|
Giants SP Tim Lincecum |
Look
for Big Time Timmy Jim (a.k.a. Tim Lincecum) to rebound from a rough 2012 and help lead the Giants back to the playoffs.
Note:
Following four consecutive All-Star seasons with an ERA in the 2.00s, Lincecum
took a huge step back in 2012. The two-time Cy Young award winner was awful –
posting a stunningly sky-high 5.37 ERA. Yet the Giants still managed to win it
all last season … With the high-priced, newly remodeled Dodgers to contend with, San Fran will
need The Freak to return to his dominant self this season.
Third place – Arizona Diamondbacks (83-75 - 1 GB)
After
winning 94 games in 2011, the Diamondbacks took a step back in winning 81 games
last year. The team has a quality pitching staff and quality batting lineup.
But it’s hard to say it’s much higher than average.
Arizona
lost star right fielder Justin Upton in the offseason. While Upton did not have
the best of years last season, he still possesses a nice bat and will be missed
this season.
|
Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt |
The
D-Backs still have some good bats, though, and a lot of good arms (led by Ian
Kennedy and Trevor Cahill). So expect them to give a lot of teams fits this
year; especially at home, where the team really bring out the sticks. But in the
end, the club just does not have enough to get by L.A. and Frisco.
Note: Arizona's 25-year-old first baseman, Paul Goldschmidt - who signed a five year, $35 million contract this offseason - will be relied upon for the Diamondbacks to have a successful season. Goldschmidt's new deal with the Snakes follows a 2012 rookie season where he hit .286 with 29 HRs and 82 RBI.
Fourth
place – Colorado Rockies (75-87 - 13 GB)
The
2013 Colorado Rockies will have enough offense to go toe-to-toe with its N.L.
Counterparts. But it definitely will not have the pitching (again).
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Rockies C Willin Rosario |
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Colorado
finished last year with a team ERA of 5.22 – dead last in the
majors, by far. One would figure a team could only go up from there. But even if it
does, the Rockies still have a lot of work to do.
Note:
Rockies catcher Willin Rosario could be an X-factor in making Colorado
competitive this season. Rosario quietly came upon the scene last year with a fantastic
offensive season. The 24-year-old Dominican batted .270 with 28 home
runs and 71 RBI in 396 at-bats last season (that’s a HR / 14.1 AB ratio).
Colorado hopes Rosario can replicate those numbers this year. Beyond that, the team's also hopeful Rosario can improve defensively and conquer an even greater challenge - helping the Rockies improve its very poor pitching staff.
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Padres RP Huston Street |
Fifth
place – San Diego Padres (68-94 - 20 GB)
San Diego has as large deficiency of talent. Huston Street's revival was a bright spot last season. He might very well be again this season - until he's traded to a contender, that is.
Notes: Street, the Padres' token All-Star representative in 2012, posted 23 saves with a 1.85 ERA and 0.72 WHIP last season. The oft-injured, deadly-when-healthy closer could be auditioning for a postseason roster this season; just don't expect that spot to be in San Diego.